Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204dccc06a418c0cc400b8aacac7b0042ab787f777768f504a7646b855dc4b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 33c | 80,948$26,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,393.79 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 48,599$32,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,354.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 47,734$31,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,754.26 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 20,007$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Team Falcons | 38c | 12,839$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 8,178$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.53 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Falcons | 12c | 6,963$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.86 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…1e61backed Team Falcons | 7c | 6,817$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 4,765$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.69 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,903$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.68 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 2,564$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.78 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 33c | 2,300$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 2,024$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.34 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,976$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.72 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,842$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.64 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,838$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.12 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,745$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.92 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.66 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,618$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.09 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,596$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,514$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,491$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.42 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,407$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,270$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…8b22backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,215$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 26c | 1,150$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,076$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,008$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Team Falcons | 28c | 908.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 32c | 859.54$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 34c | 844.43$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Team Falcons | 41c | 762.88$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 755.29$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 748.42$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 741.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 675.33$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 671.96$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 595.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 589.19$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 538.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Falcons | 3c | 533.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 13c | 510$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…b42bbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 464.44$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 444.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 417.25$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Falcons | 3c | 376.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 341.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 339.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 320.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Falcons | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 298.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 281.3$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 253.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 41c | 245.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 245.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…b1a1backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 231.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 226.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 218.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Falcons | 10c | 214.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Falcons | 29c | 203.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Falcons | 6c | 201.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Falcons | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…19f0backed Team Falcons | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 32c | 173.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…054cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 165.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 163$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa612…3397backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 160.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 157$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Falcons | 37c | 156.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 151.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Falcons | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 147.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8f7abacked Team Falcons | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 130.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 127.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 100.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.