Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3567a4c4de4ce0a101aed0512a676230bc2d0c5c1d30ec7fb3ed2647ba6659e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $514,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Team Falcons | 30c | 168,877$49,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,989.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 159,125$111,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,145.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 27c | 50,995$13,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,768.64 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 18,320$13,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.4 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 15,558$11,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.85 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 13,673$10,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.85 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 13,672$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.4 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 12,950$9,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…5670backed Team Falcons | 28c | 12,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 28c | 10,923$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.46 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 27c | 6,896$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.91 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 6,678$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.83 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 6,585$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.86 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 6,384$4,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 30c | 5,241$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.35 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 5,038$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.67 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 4,892$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.62 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Falcons | 17c | 4,283$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.49 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 27c | 4,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 3,768$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.97 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 11c | 3,530$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 29c | 3,433$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.77 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Team Falcons | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…b721backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 2,850$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 2,845$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.89 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 2,777$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.79 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 2,684$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Team Falcons | 22c | 2,627$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,332$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Team Falcons | 21c | 2,106$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.07 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…d6b2backed Team Falcons | 32c | 2,095$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Team Falcons | 31c | 2,025$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 2,000$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Falcons | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,874$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.15 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,783$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.33 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 29c | 1,462$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed Team Falcons | 23c | 1,399$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.92 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…92efbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,378$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,361$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 27c | 1,347$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.17 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,342$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.76 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,076$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,033$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Falcons | 10c | 944.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 868.63$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Team Falcons | 28c | 832.14$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Team Falcons | 28c | 808.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 801.8$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 799.95$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Team Falcons | 31c | 788$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…4b61backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 766.14$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…0263backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 724$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Falcons | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 661$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed Team Falcons | 28c | 642.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 616.91$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 27c | 544.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…509cbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 474.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Falcons | 23c | 466.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 22c | 437$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 389.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Team Falcons | 20c | 378.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 372.6$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Falcons | 33c | 363.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…3c07backed Team Falcons | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 356.94$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Falcons | 29c | 350$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Falcons | 19c | 340$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 339.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 282.06$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 271.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 265.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…17febacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 255.82$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Falcons | 12c | 238.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Team Falcons | 28c | 220$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…89ebbacked Team Falcons | 15c | 211.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 211$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 209.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 206.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 204.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…1209backed Team Falcons | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.