TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f55…e528

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$126
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$223.97
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$392
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+203%+$609.09
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.55
Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.2
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.79
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.37
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Russia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$158.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.