Olympics · resolved market
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d380b3cba6359d4ae09bc390e36215c0f6fbeb0a85ae5920dfac7b94ccee9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62a0…9d78backed Yes | 52c | 2,459$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 48c | 2,212$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 50c | 2,105$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 3c | 1,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked No | 52c | 1,217$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 66c | 960.45$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 62c | 900.56$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed No | 49c | 850.82$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 825.85$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 43c | 802.2$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.35 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 59c | 784.19$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 27c | 728.37$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…333bbacked No | 51c | 658.31$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…3c60backed No | 52c | 653.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 54c | 533.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed No | 43c | 526.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…6b92backed Yes | 71c | 506.83$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…f1ffbacked Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…0f3abacked Yes | 54c | 368.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes | 56c | 358.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed No | 57c | 352.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 53c | 338.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…6edbbacked Yes | 49c | 303.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 50c | 284.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 52c | 270$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 52c | 229.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 44c | 224.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Yes | 51c | 219.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed No | 46c | 216.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…bfdabacked Yes | 59c | 203.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed No | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…93fbbacked Yes | 79c | 198.53$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…a1fcbacked Yes | 50c | 198.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 51c | 196.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 44c | 193.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 47c | 193.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 188.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…46bbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…ef21backed No | 59c | 178.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…a280backed Yes | 57c | 175.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…116cbacked Yes | 55c | 156.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Yes | 53c | 155.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Yes | 61c | 150.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 58c | 147.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…3b04backed Yes | 57c | 139.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 44c | 132.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 53c | 116.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…9b40backed No | 45c | 110.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…0203backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…0a06backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 16c | 97.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 69c | 81.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 49c | 79.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed No | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 52c | 75.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 44c | 71.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…1c59backed Yes | 72c | 68.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 45c | 63.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 68c | 59.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 45c | 57.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 57.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 46c | 53.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9546…f4eabacked No | 47c | 53.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed No | 49c | 53.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…d870backed No | 47c | 52.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…8ce7backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…5c10backed No | 48c | 48.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0c…e8e7backed Yes | 53c | 48.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46a…2a88backed Yes | 59c | 48.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 43c | 47.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 47c | 44.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 47c | 43.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…6f90backed Yes | 67c | 41.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 42c | 41.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…cca6backed No | 49c | 41.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…b655backed Yes | 55c | 39.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Yes | 53c | 39.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435b…3aafbacked Yes | 55c | 38.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…2a88backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…d039backed No | 53c | 35.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…a2b6backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Amy Fraser (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Indra Brown (AUS) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Li Fangui (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Rachael Karker (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Svea Irving (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.