Olympics · resolved market
Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9101af4c588276d5b2b177270c6fa27ae6421da65f8a92f4f807c36480bc015c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb42…742cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,041$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…72a1backed No | 80c | 3,528$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 2,061$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.21 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 49c | 997.33$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…4b86backed Yes | 31c | 793.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 22c | 670$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed Yes | 14c | 434.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 21c | 417$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 67c | 386$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 52c | 310$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 28c | 301.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 38c | 222.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…1c59backed Yes | 10c | 209.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 60c | 204.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…42b6backed Yes | 13c | 187.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 69c | 172.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…bafdbacked Yes | 60c | 146.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 22c | 143.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Yes | 20c | 74.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…cca6backed Yes | 32c | 62.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 26c | 59.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked Yes | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 47.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e267backed Yes | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 35.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…d039backed Yes | 35c | 31.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 72c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Amy Fraser (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Indra Brown (AUS) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Li Fangui (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Rachael Karker (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Svea Irving (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.