TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd3b…c3e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
263
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$796.65
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63.16
Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.9%+$69.2
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.2%+$149.69
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61.6
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+46.2%+$73.92
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Swimming Pools"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+69.4%+$80.56
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+302.6%+$186.37
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$101.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$64.4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$251.35
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$338.36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.36
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.8
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$122.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$99.84
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$291.51
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$134.33
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+91.8%+$160.84
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$72.4
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.5
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$73.49
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$105
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+222.6%+$138
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+32%+$82.4
Will Trump mention DeepSeek by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" 7 or more times during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$97.16
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$73.7
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+39.1%+$61.7
Will Trump say "Texas" during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+177.8%+$128
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$136.5
Will the first House vote on CR funding bill pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$54
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+145.4%+$47.4
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$35
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+381.9%+$317
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$64
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$24
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$18.2
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$33.44
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Ja Morant get fined again this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$554.25
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.13
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$48.05
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$63.99
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$184
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.98
NBA Playoffs: Lakers vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$509.25
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$38
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+92.3%+$48
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Bronny James score a point tonight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$24.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$135.23
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$197.25
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$148.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$131.4
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$85.5
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$129.5
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$161.7
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$91.5
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$70.5
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$34.3
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$45.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$182.2
Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+525%+$168
Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+40.8%+$72.5
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+63.1%+$32.82
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+100%+$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.11
Powell says "inflation" 15+ times in FOMC statement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.5
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$20.95
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$68.75
Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+142.6%+$264.5
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$231.75
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+163.2%+$92.99
Trudeau out in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$177
Edmundo González arrested before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.58
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.3
Will 'Nosferatu' gross over $30m on 5-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$60.8
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+275.9%+$73.4
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+88.7%+$94
Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$22.5
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$90
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+101.4%+$736.58
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$111.64
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80.5
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+52%+$68.17
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$614.94
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+42.9%+$150
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-71.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick41cpaid+106%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1,823.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+3,746.2%+$1,168.8
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$79.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+47.1%+$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$200.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Seattle beat Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.