Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb161d5447772cf54d08ead209333aa26cde6ce5d3c78c9554e9b7f6097558e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 14,890$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 41c | 3,183$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 48c | 2,907$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.12 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed No | 54c | 2,525$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.73 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…217cbacked No | 4c | 2,452$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 61c | 2,440$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.85 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 67c | 2,014$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 49c | 1,501$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.73 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 1,494$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 77c | 1,158$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.28 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bec0backed Yes | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 53c | 499.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 60c | 386$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…377fbacked Yes | 40c | 343.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 39c | 320.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…6535backed No | 71c | 300$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 52c | 293.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 42cpaid | -88%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 279.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 77c | 250.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed No | 64c | 250$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked Yes | 26c | 231.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 45c | 229.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 22c | 221.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…6157backed Yes | 39c | 218.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…94d1backed Yes | 55c | 217.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 208.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 200.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…7ec8backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5297backed No | 57c | 199.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 77c | 196.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 75cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…f349backed No | 77c | 177.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 52c | 169.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 51c | 153.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 26c | 148.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 37c | 120.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 60c | 119$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…3ad5backed Yes | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…0b43backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…7d4abacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…046abacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 37c | 98.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…e83bbacked Yes | 46c | 89.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed Yes | 42c | 80.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 76.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 71.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -26.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…cab3backed No | 60c | 70.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c4…75cebacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 56c | 61.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…d7b2backed Yes | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…4461backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 53.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…577ebacked Yes | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…4eb0backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…dbc4backed Yes | 42c | 48.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…1cf0backed Yes | 56c | 48.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 48c | 46.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 56c | 46.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 77c | 46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041a…2dafbacked Yes | 36c | 41.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc583…677abacked No | 57c | 37.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…3acbbacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 54c | 34.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 62c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…8c4dbacked Yes | 79c | 31.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…f5cbbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…eddabacked Yes | 52c | 27.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…ca50backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?this page
- Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $200 in November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $208 in November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $252 in November?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $288 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.