TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17e6…6fcb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Stocks at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.8
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.12
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.23
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$107.49
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+55.1%+$94.71
Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+265.9%+$43.6
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+247.8%+$42.75
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.34
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick27cpaid-87.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.44
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.63
Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39.68
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+103.6%+$183.71
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.37
Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.12
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60.36
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.66
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.32
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.21
Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$64.8
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$47.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick42cpaid-88%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Stocks — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $210 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Apple (AAPL) hit $265 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.13
Will Apple (AAPL) hit $260 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.77
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.09
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$59.2
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Will Apple (AAPL) hit $285 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Airbnb dip to $110 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.16
Will Palantir dip to $141 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$213
Will Tesla dip to $375 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.54
Will Apple (AAPL) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.53
Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+91.8%+$140.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+106.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.41
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$72.5
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.34
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+900%+$235.8
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+204.9%+$202.02
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+190%+$215.69
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$51
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$152.01
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+62.6%+$38.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$83.89
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$108.19
Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.46
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+73.3%+$80.38
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$27.09
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.57
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25.8%+$21.1
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$298.3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.76
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.41
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.06
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.47
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$37.73
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$126.63
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+397.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+397.1%+$159.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.