Earnings · resolved market
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250f38ab5ba9aad558c722208478066e573a784ab31394c0c3db335b6a6b3c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 36c | 458.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 64c | 436$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 58c | 411$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.21 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 398.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…d731backed Yes | 4c | 345$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…a8bebacked Yes | 4c | 345$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 38c | 265.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 63c | 221.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed No | 65c | 181.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 64c | 159.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed No | 64c | 156.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 36c | 130.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 40c | 126.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 60c | 116.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…259ebacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…0bdcbacked No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed Yes | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed No | 65c | 83.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed No | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 41c | 55.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 37c | 53.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…1633backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…8fd1backed Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -94%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 27c | 44.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 213 | 41.3%88 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 42c | 34.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 62c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf44b…11b6backed No | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.