TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc97b…7f7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Earnings at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42.77
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.93
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Oklo (OKLO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$35.72
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+31.7%+$32.44
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$84.21
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$34.4
Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$116.51
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.37
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$29.82
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$48.2
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$78.36
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.58
Will Helen of Troy (HELE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+134.9%+$141.81
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.83
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.27
Spread: Vanderbilt (-9.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Kentucky vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$39.53
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.79
Houston vs. Oregon Statebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9.02
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.94
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+214.5%+$72.94
Alabama vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.24
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56.27
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.83
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$34.32
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+159.8%+$159.78
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+150%+$41.66
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$20.58
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$10.32
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+84.6%+$194.57
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+158.9%+$164.17
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$38.03
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$11.95
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.46
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$58.72
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$15.04
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$470.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.67
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$186.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.8%+$186.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+50.7%+$205.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.