MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6074b3e74aa3e2466f1425ab662ad974e33d7742579c76e1004afb71b08c1136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Cardinals | 64c | 452,482$289,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289,990.88 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 36c | 404,711$145,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259,180.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockies | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockies | 35c | 14,629$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,509.17 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 35c | 12,750$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,225 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rockies | 56c | 10,421$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.69 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 35c | 10,100$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.98 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…e1b4backed Cardinals | 65c | 9,957$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Cardinals | 65c | 8,768$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Cardinals | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 63c | 5,754$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.26 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 65c | 5,743$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.69 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies | 35c | 5,640$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Cardinals | 65c | 5,600$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockies | 35c | 4,560$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 65c | 4,524$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.76 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 65c | 4,444$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.57 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 36c | 3,705$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.71 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies | 35c | 3,677$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.71 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Cardinals | 65c | 3,300$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies | 37c | 3,250$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.55 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed Rockies | 37c | 3,200$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Rockies | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Rockies | 35c | 2,700$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 36c | 2,620$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 65c | 2,295$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.55 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rockies | 52c | 1,936$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.64 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Rockies | 36c | 1,783$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rockies | 37c | 1,733$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.79 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 64c | 1,402$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.59 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 16c | 1,372$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…a3bcbacked Cardinals | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…c079backed Rockies | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Rockies | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Cardinals | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Rockies | 37c | 900$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Rockies | 35c | 900$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 35c | 878.28$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Cardinals | 34c | 846$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 34c | 823.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.83 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Cardinals | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 34c | 782$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies | 37c | 750$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Cardinals | 21c | 555.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 34c | 523$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Rockies | 34c | 509$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cardinals | 39c | 500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…acb2backed Rockies | 62c | 493.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 483.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 36c | 436.61$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Cardinals | 65c | 403.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Cardinals | 65c | 400$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rockies | 35c | 392$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 352.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 65c | 350.91$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.14 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 63c | 317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cardinals | 32c | 313.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 32c | 312.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 65c | 307$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 45c | 296$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 40c | 287.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Rockies | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 36c | 279$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 4c | 276.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 66c | 275.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rockies | 36c | 268.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cardinals | 16c | 248.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 51c | 241.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 65c | 217$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Rockies | 36c | 210.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 37c | 192.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…2435backed Cardinals | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked Cardinals | 42c | 164.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Cardinals | 41c | 162.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rockies | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 36c | 154.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Cardinals | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Cardinals | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 66c | 152.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Cardinals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Rockies | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…b13cbacked Cardinals | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Cardinals | 57c | 146.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.