TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97ef…5289

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
320
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT12459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$66.21
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4673.9%34 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111.5%+$1,873.98
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.5%+$935.72
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.3%+$52.12
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$186.28
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.9%+$85.69
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$523.5
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.9%+$120.08
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.3%+$235.9
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$38.53
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.9
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$57.99
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$52.46
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+148.3%+$148.27
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.6
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72%+$212.76
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+90.9%+$29.08
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+128.5%+$128.55
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.05
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Emma Raducanubacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
US Open: Gael Monfils vs Roman Safiullinbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Holtbacked Holt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Ugo Humbert vs Adam Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+184.9%+$184.93
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
ATP Cincinnati - Lehecka vs. Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublevbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Cincinnati - Tsitsipas vs. Bonzibacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$73.92
ATP Toronto – Popyrin vs. Runebacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+178.1%+$178.06
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.8
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.5
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100.1%+$50.03
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$46.9
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.33
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.72
Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+123.2%+$123.19
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$28.76
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.1
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$49.7
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$144.89
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,045Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+99.7%+$6,027.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.37
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$993.6
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Rams vs. Titansbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.76
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.75
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.99
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$102.86
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.6
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.88
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.83
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+177.2%+$177.24
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$328.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Storm vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$30.74
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dream vs. Feverbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wings vs. Sparksbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Fever vs. Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Storm vs Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$549
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+83.4%+$83.39
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+277%+$129.32
Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+187.2%+$187.19
Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$31.9
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.9
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+61.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 318?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.