TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Giants, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,592,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,587,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,592,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants38c1,091,877$413,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,113.338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers62c419,449$260,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,390.7513246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers63c247,970$155,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,755.9863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers62c160,157$99,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,859.8544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers62c76,853$47,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,489.961,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers62c65,500$40,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,153.3425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers62c53,000$32,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,14055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants38c50,022$18,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,987.391,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers62c50,000$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,00026355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants10c45,308$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.571,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Dodgers62c35,776$22,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,594.8812650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giants10c34,368$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.6578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants32c28,586$9,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,162.632,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers63c26,889$17,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,882.9217156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants38c24,063$9,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,144.0460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Giants49c21,642$10,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,620.139146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Dodgers62c21,371$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,120.9820850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Giants38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6008861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Dodgers52c17,657$9,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,480.732951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants36c14,380$5,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,23843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers64c13,442$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,839.0945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers62c12,950$8,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,92113065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants10c10,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.6593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers49c8,461$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.0254048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers62c7,982$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.0528258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Dodgers60c7,133$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.7331254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Giants49c6,752$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.4833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers79c6,748$5,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.026,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd666…a3fbbacked Dodgers54c5,514$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.551050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants38c5,045$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.3234245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Giants39c5,011$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.291850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants49c4,764$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.7425551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Giants9c4,320$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.82242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Giants38c4,166$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.089135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants7c4,108$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.121,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Giants42c3,792$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60020747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers62c3,516$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.112,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Dodgers61c3,452$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.262744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers62c3,092$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.961,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers62c3,035$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.4416551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Dodgers62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.359349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers54c2,000$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.6315033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Giants5c2,000$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Giants38c1,973$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.741,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Dodgers62c1,942$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.9414453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants30c1,750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b8…1235backed Dodgers62c1,635$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.27757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Dodgers61c1,450$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.324753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants44c1,383$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc913…e51cbacked Giants48c1,313$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Giants43c1,264$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc2…8b96backed Giants38c1,211$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Giants35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Dodgers62c1,057$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers78c1,048$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.393,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Giants39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Giants39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Dodgers62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Giants8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5853…e2dabacked Dodgers48c1,000$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8358…a347backed Giants52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants39c999.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants5c991.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.118762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Giants35c957.95$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.721847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Dodgers59c900$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.513242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers47c857.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4617136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers62c846.77$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7710451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants38c810$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Giants39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ce…f74dbacked Giants37c750$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…cd2bbacked Dodgers54c746.69$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Dodgers63c732.74$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7210154.5%55 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants41c728.38$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.744,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants38c699.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers44c685$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.68454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Giants22c654.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.611838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Giants40c647.13$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.126544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Dodgers62c636.47$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2725548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Dodgers61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2344557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants38c579.42$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Giants38c553$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1412436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants38c520.52$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Dodgers62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19039056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Dodgers62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants38c499.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.841,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers54c499.32$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.324057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Dodgers50c495.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.11,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Dodgers63c485.92$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9213249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Giants33c483.63$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5140352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Giants42c476.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7988…a671backed Giants45c464.91$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Giants38c454$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants38c448$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.66,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.