TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe3e3…21d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$514.43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$407.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$215.76
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$266
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$208.86
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,618.81
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$78.49
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$551.67
Will the Mets and Dodgers combine for 8 or more runs scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.71
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$398.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$219.8
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+376.2%+$2,265.3
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+29.9%+$138.51
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+72.4%+$194.46
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$260
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$279.99
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+33.3%+$131.75
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+58.7%+$250.65
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+42.9%+$41.8
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+40.8%+$75.1
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$347.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+56.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$329.98
Will Everton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+40.8%+$102.66
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+61.3%+$69.89
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$478.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+138.1%+$223
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,230.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+127.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$372.02
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$227.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lecce vs. Cagliari end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$245.37
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+161%+$320.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$529.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,536.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.