MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa743b7fe51b506fed478cb68112132a342a503fe98df38c33212ec38fe80cd18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Baltimore Orioles, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $973,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 140,979$76,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,850.23 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 100,999$22,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,107.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 79,019$36,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,348.53 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 50,022$23,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,010.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 49,646$38,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,645.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 47,975$25,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,068.44 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 43,972$14,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,445.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 37,329$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,329.33 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 35,609$19,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,309.43 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 28,172$15,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,737.63 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 22,200$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 20,135$12,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,685.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 19,671$9,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.45 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 19,319$11,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 16,340$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.89 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 15,847$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.14 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 15,564$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 15,487$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.98 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 12,257$7,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 11,181$7,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 10,908$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 10,251$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…d662backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 9,999$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.41 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 9,508$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.59 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 9,051$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.6 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 8,692$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.02 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 8,163$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 7,296$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.66 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 6,787$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 6,756$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,637$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.03 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 6,559$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.03 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 6,153$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.32 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,001$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.46 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 5,965$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.23 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 5,797$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 5,100$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 3,639$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 2,918$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 2,631$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.08 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,628$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.14 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,461$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.55 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 2,451$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.29 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 2,265$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,229$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.27 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,019$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.93 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…0435backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,771$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 1,748$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.61 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,742$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,700$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,617$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.82 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,609$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,499$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,436$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.32 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,263$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,204$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,152$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.85 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 1,151$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,125$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,072$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.12 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,037$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.83 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 997.87$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.98 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 912.38$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 881.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 875.31$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 860.79$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.57 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 858.55$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.72 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 811.57$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 810.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 787.75$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 764.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.53 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 752.18$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 749.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.53 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 680.7$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.