MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797a92ca12f0949ec18b718959a2289443729751b6ccd662ba712de7ca97b027

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $207,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $256,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	49c	57,853$28,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,312.57	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	52c	28,555$14,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,706.4	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under	51c	20,400$10,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,996	156	51.3%80 W · 76 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over	48c	19,176$9,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,204.36	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under	57c	15,805$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,805.34	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,099.99	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	47c	11,363$5,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,313.28	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over	48c	10,735$5,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,152.98	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	51c	9,000$4,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,410	151	48.3%73 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	46c	6,501$2,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,514.2	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	4,954$2,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,403.27	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	34c	4,869$1,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,208.12	1,874	52%975 W · 899 L	+51.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	43c	3,833$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	338	52.1%176 W · 162 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	51c	2,996$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.85	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	50c	2,949$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474.72	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under	44c	2,678$1,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.09	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	2,302$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.77	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	52c	2,208$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.94	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	34c	2,093$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.53	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	51c	1,809$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.41	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	52c	1,667$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.16	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	52c	1,243$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.64	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	26c	1,098$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.73	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under	51c	1,057$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.7	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	51c	933.59$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.12	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	48c	823.06$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.29	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under	51c	803.33$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.63	883	49.3%435 W · 448 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Over	59c	661.53$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	481	45.3%218 W · 263 L	-15.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	49c	546.33$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.7	191	53.9%103 W · 88 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	49c	510.47$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Under	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	41c	396.48$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.5	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Under	38c	372.55$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.98	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Under	65c	354.66$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.66	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	59c	331.37$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.86	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	327.65$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.91	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under	51c	294$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.06	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	27c	270.69$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.48	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over	77c	259$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.61	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over	77c	259$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.65	75	56%42 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	785	50.2%394 W · 391 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	47c	221$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.2	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	45c	216.78$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.5	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Over	48c	210$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Under	48c	208.54$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	51c	205$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.45	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	52c	200.7$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.34	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	308	44.2%136 W · 172 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	128	50%64 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Under	33c	151.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.71	371	43.9%163 W · 208 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Over	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	43c	149.84$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.62	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under	52c	147.21$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.66	208	52.9%110 W · 98 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over	76c	146.33$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.64	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under	52c	143.27$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.96	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	377	47.2%178 W · 199 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ac…16cdbacked Under	53c	127.76$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under	51c	125$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.25	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under	56c	106.64$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Under	45c	98.58$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.48	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed Over	51c	97.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Over	48c	96.64$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.17	848	40.2%341 W · 507 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	36c	91.73$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.71	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over	59c	91.3$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.23	1,374	54.2%745 W · 629 L	+16.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb3…a0fdbacked Under	56c	88.39$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over	47c	84.83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	52c	79.64$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.2	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	49c	75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	53c	75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.25	213	53.5%114 W · 99 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over	47c	74.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under	25c	71.63$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.73	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Under	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.77	130	53.1%69 W · 61 L	-11.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	38c	67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.87	2,546	45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L	-74.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	38c	61.26$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.26	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under	35c	61$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.44	232	44%102 W · 130 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	49c	59.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	51c	59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Under	50c	58.43$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.22	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under	60c	55.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.33	116	58.6%68 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	39c	54.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	44c	48.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over	69c	46.14$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.74	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Under	43c	46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under	52c	45.63$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under	52c	45.12$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	143	53.1%76 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Under	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	38c	39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.18	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Under	51c	35.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami MarlinsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event