TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc26a…76a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$213.84
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.45
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$59.03
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+91%+$75.2
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$1,642.99
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+202.4%+$718.84
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$240.72
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$606.95
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.41
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.99
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$125.48
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.24
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+377.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+125.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.