Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a37d06838246870a9941013135b763831d6f491cea0eb1feab5902c4b1c5d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $916,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 39c | 82,716$32,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,086.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 42c | 47,856$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,855.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 43,288$26,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,171.66 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 30c | 41,969$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,468.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 40,186$27,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,460.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 60c | 38,700$23,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,219.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 26c | 37,622$9,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,685.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 34,119$21,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600.62 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 39c | 28,886$11,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,704.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 21,371$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,672.42 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 59c | 16,864$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,949.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 61c | 16,000$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,760 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 57c | 15,955$9,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,160.36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 13,151$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,746.16 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 58c | 12,247$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 10,248$6,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.51 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 60c | 9,200$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.22 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 20c | 9,073$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,290.65 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 59c | 8,070$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.3 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 7,960$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.55 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 60c | 7,046$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 33c | 6,744$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 6,400$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 58c | 6,335$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 61c | 6,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 39c | 5,738$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.18 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked No | 60c | 5,490$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 59c | 5,334$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.23 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 59c | 5,292$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.2 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 60c | 4,832$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 59c | 4,800$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 61c | 4,791$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 60c | 4,302$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.59 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed Yes | 40c | 4,075$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 40c | 3,974$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.6 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 3,723$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.96 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 3,701$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.26 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 15c | 3,596$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.49 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 41c | 3,418$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 17c | 3,085$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 2,800$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,750$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Yes | 24c | 2,642$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 2,489$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.96 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 15c | 2,273$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 2,240$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.73 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 37c | 2,221$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.24 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,098$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.56 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 1,973$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.57 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 59c | 1,704$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.28 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…212ebacked No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 10c | 1,637$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed No | 5c | 1,630$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 61c | 1,613$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.98 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 64c | 1,500$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,494$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.32 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 59c | 1,433$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.54 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 60c | 1,279$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 61c | 1,272$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…15c8backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…d998backed Yes | 42c | 1,227$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 1,117$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.2 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 59c | 1,040$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 1,031$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.29 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 41c | 973.94$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 960$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.4 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 959.97$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.38 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 60c | 888$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 16c | 850.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 42c | 849.98$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.99 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 59c | 786.55$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.07 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 32c | 762.79$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…d552backed Yes | 38c | 750$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 68c | 744.78$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.82 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 59c | 732$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Yes | 16c | 718.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 704.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.75 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 76c | 695.1$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 42c | 682.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 61c | 668$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.48 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 59c | 640$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Yes | 21c | 638.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 636.81$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.43 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 61c | 613.11$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.