Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7800693ac8bad850c038ab56511dae6f60e977f13ea6e23391f757b29d27714f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Yes | 56c | 26,873$15,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,048.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 69c | 25,688$17,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 22,942$13,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 15,498$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.66 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 8,940$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.52 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed No | 69c | 7,500$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 6,788$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.21 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 5,277$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 5,235$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.55 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 5,151$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.53 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,846$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 71c | 2,778$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 24c | 2,731$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 2,698$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.74 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 2,410$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.44 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 2,321$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.42 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,218$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.85 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,016$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.13 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…bd26backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked No | 64c | 1,600$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 22c | 1,548$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 1,515$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 55c | 1,390$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 79c | 1,267$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 30c | 1,137$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Yes | 57c | 1,002$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 31c | 968.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d53…2735backed No | 71c | 746.48$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 621$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 43c | 599.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 31c | 595$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 578.71$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 17c | 476.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 468.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 30c | 466.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 29c | 460.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 23c | 451.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 32c | 438$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed No | 44c | 418.34$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 51c | 409.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 24c | 399.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 47c | 398.44$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 389.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 30c | 379.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…b680backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 49c | 352.68$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 30c | 324.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 44c | 319.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 31c | 318.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…0c03backed Yes | 15c | 275.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 31c | 275$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 75c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 233.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 45c | 220.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 60c | 205.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 71c | 204.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3528…1ef9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed No | 51c | 193.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes | 18c | 188.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 70c | 185.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed No | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 171.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 13c | 164.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 73c | 163.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed No | 77c | 156.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…4807backed Yes | 20c | 146.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 66c | 136.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3983…4550backed Yes | 29c | 135.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 135.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 17c | 133.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…f515backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.