TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x180a…54a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$538
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$524.75
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,416.32
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$487
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$137.54
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,909
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$950.92
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$653.67
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,262.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.07
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.4
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,055.89
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,205
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$834
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,545
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$3,241.2
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,753
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,235.67
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$398.57
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$691
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,424
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.88
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,800
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$855
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$3,463.04
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,080
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick28cpaid-81.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$391
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$715
Will Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$653
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.21
Will CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$801
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$457
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$397
Will Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$537
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,404.63
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.97
Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.5
Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.21
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,599.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.