South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00ea53e78cd48171e16979b266c43d41dafa584dbad1190e76a45c051bae529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 6,011$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 4,260$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 4,201$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.89 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,562$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.44 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 72c | 1,390$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.2 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 27c | 1,071$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 28c | 1,007$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 72c | 895.62$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 28c | 876.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 28c | 842.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 650$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 618.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 572.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 568.58$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 9c | 339.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 67c | 326.46$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 32c | 317.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 77c | 257.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 72c | 238$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…aeb6backed Yes | 28c | 177.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 157.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 150.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…a1d5backed No | 75c | 139$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 125.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 108.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 28c | 102.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 20c | 89.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 71.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 60.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…ac7fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 73c | 44.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 42.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…705abacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 37.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 29.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…36fabacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…e6d8backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.