TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$431,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes50c180,000$89,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,537.6729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes50c103,231$51,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,615.718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c55,838$30,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,825.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No50c42,026$21,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,013333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No51c41,256$21,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,130.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c27,284$13,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,642.063,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes48c14,977$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1603040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c13,451$6,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No50c10,694$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,34742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed No53c8,300$4,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No50c8,158$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0793167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No49c7,734$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.558153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c7,673$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.3728940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1158…4e19backed No50c7,305$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No50c6,456$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2282544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.982766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c4,293$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No51c4,028$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.4623549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes51c4,013$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.533036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c3,613$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.21,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No50c3,406$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No54c3,400$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57811855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes38c3,340$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No54c3,077$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.261,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…8366backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No50c2,568$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.7645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed No52c2,020$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+82.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.942948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No50c1,820$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91022457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No53c1,817$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.982875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c1,815$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.7727133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked No63c1,793$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes32c1,694$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.155143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes28c1,690$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.322,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70016558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No50c1,339$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.6424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes48c1,212$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.33360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes49c1,092$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.962,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes49c1,043$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.244443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c1,019$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.491,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked No50c1,015$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No50c1,008$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+65.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes50c996$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4982839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes50c940$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No53c887.07$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.74141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed No50c878.62$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes21c877.74$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No51c842.43$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.293073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No50c814.56$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2833560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No50c778$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed No51c765.37$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c720.47$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.531,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c685.14$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.691,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3423754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No50c650$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No54c641.59$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.137060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes48c611.61$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.331,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No49c582.88$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No54c569.38$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5825955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No50c560.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes21c555.76$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes24c555.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.621640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes51c525.49$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26813257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26016559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26015857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No53c500.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.055168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes50c496.05$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes43c465.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes18c446.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c446$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.981,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c436.97$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.111,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No75c410.7$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.74831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed No52c324$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16021358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No52c312.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5333365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No50c312$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No50c312$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No50c304$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No76c303.75$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.655147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.