TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,579,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,704,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,579,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No14c199,098$27,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,873.6520140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No12c178,453$21,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,949.0918453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed No14c133,197$18,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,647.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No15c108,082$15,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,706.710455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No14c27,565$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.127544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No14c25,120$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.783070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No15c23,674$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No13c21,682$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.774141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No14c21,317$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.222,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No5c20,872$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No15c20,504$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.891,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9410236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No15c18,936$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No13c17,325$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.258453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No15c15,564$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.5412847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No1c14,643$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4313748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No15c13,517$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.564261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No15c13,418$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.483040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No14c13,396$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.393256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No15c10,906$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.8527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed No14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No2c9,947$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No13c9,417$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.1616050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No15c9,346$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.1439555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No13c7,920$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.611,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked No14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No4c6,969$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No2c6,374$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.474930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No15c6,109$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No14c6,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82513151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No14c6,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82510951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No13c6,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No14c5,423$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.1611149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No14c5,170$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.86023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No14c5,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6906448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No17c5,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9915233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No8c3,517$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed No15c3,416$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.46850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No14c3,149$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No15c3,045$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.753855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed No14c2,879$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.072133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed No14c2,679$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No7c2,518$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.253125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No5c2,424$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.197149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No13c2,411$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.792,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No3c2,391$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.824,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No16c2,378$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.183748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No19c2,170$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.291,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No15c2,091$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No15c2,040$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No14c2,005$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.685942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No6c1,990$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.152860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No18c1,923$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No15c1,898$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No15c1,898$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.76866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No14c1,509$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No7c1,458$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No13c1,452$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No14c1,375$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4929458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked No15c1,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.89131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No14c1,195$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed No15c1,149$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.322147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No15c1,139$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.824835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No15c1,131$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.691,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No15c1,060$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.954932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked No14c1,020$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.83821.1%8 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes80c968.21$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0710765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No15c940.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.941,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No14c935.98$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.04850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c925.89$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.641,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No6c850$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No15c799.06$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.864452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No7c755.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8810924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No15c663.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4648950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No21c599.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No14c599.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.982642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No6c560.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6628824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked No5c543.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.293060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No15c533.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No14c479.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.112347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed No14c471.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No9c437.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.611433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa905…dc4fbacked No6c411.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No15c390.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.65944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No13c366.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed No16c356.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No7c354.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.087327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf55f…8e92backed No7c337.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No15c316.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.457960.8%48 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked No15c281.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.32240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c3…87aabacked No7c269.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed No14c254.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.