Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df676abc816c624507a9b42efad66e1e98fccc482084a863d5f2bbf54310b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3511…e3bdbacked Yes | 10c | 15,859$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 9c | 6,308$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 3,938$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.83 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 3,777$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 6c | 3,116$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Yes | 6c | 2,831$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 10c | 2,649$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 10c | 1,749$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,721$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 1,481$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 10c | 1,067$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…6bacbacked Yes | 10c | 1,060$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 2c | 1,046$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…6a5abacked Yes | 5c | 1,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 10c | 996.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…0f1fbacked Yes | 10c | 972.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…e5bdbacked Yes | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 11c | 494.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Yes | 10c | 437.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 6c | 315.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 314.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 13c | 295.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 10c | 265.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 10c | 265.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 10c | 265.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Yes | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 5c | 250.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 218.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7e82backed Yes | 10c | 198.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…efe4backed Yes | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…884cbacked Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…e2a4backed Yes | 9c | 168.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 10c | 162$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 9c | 153.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 13c | 152.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…4746backed Yes | 10c | 132.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 10c | 118.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…1461backed Yes | 15c | 115.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 10c | 111.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc9…0fb5backed Yes | 10c | 104.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 10c | 102.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.