Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92042626f7bd03aac7b35f79e67dde079f4652c581b7d7b935b3982ca0503746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 5c | 47,529$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.14 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 4c | 22,222$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Yes | 5c | 16,138$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,628$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.83 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Yes | 2c | 5,963$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 5,550$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 4,860$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.57 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…a931backed Yes | 5c | 4,390$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…4033backed Yes | 5c | 3,979$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,961$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 3,566$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 5c | 3,565$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 5c | 3,506$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 7c | 3,190$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 1c | 3,186$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…854abacked Yes | 1c | 3,184$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,687$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…4b27backed Yes | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 5c | 1,687$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…7061backed Yes | 5c | 1,457$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 3c | 1,305$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 5c | 1,226$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 5c | 951.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 5c | 837.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 5c | 810.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…db78backed Yes | 4c | 699.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 5c | 660.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 5c | 612.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked Yes | 5c | 588.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…2b62backed Yes | 5c | 565.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…e2d1backed Yes | 6c | 471.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b45…1a0abacked Yes | 5c | 409.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 5c | 377.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 5c | 377.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 7c | 337.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…7e7ebacked Yes | 5c | 331.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 5c | 321$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…25b6backed Yes | 4c | 308.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…a9b4backed Yes | 5c | 282.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 10c | 281.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 5c | 277.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…46c1backed Yes | 4c | 274.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked Yes | 4c | 272.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 5c | 268.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 5c | 267.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 6c | 250.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…3daabacked Yes | 5c | 231.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…d720backed Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 5c | 207.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 8c | 192.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 9c | 158.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.