TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa905…dc4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$10.22
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.74
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$25.49
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinnbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$4.95
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$8.33
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$22.31
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$15.12
Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$10.66
Savannah: Jack Kennedy vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.63
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$25.83
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Lightning vs. Wildbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+54.4%+$8.14
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$16.82
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$15.32
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.24
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.