Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fdc94b243616cbde97635aff5dece6f4bacebc6eadbd249c9c714084aa87634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 62c | 1,262$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.49 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,225$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 831.16$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 538.04$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 51c | 499$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 406.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed No | 75c | 394.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 39c | 318.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 10c | 299.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…de24backed Yes | 52c | 258.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 48c | 233.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 228.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 191.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 52c | 176.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 174.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 163.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 69c | 107.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 61c | 105.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 33c | 103.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 98.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 51c | 85.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed Yes | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 14c | 76.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 63.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 36c | 58.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Yes | 51c | 53.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 31c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…dc4fbacked Yes | 31c | 48.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 49c | 42.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked Yes | 38c | 37.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2a…5a8cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 48c | 31.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 73c | 30.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…7999backed Yes | 51c | 30.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…5652backed Yes | 51c | 30.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…46ccbacked Yes | 51c | 30.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…82d1backed Yes | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…4c41backed Yes | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 51c | 29.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 75c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.