Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8baebea9b0a226afc1cfc337d6d24d0927e0abba919c9ac120abdbaa95eea7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bologna FC 1909of Juventus FC, Bologna FC 1909
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Juventus FC | 23c | 68,042$15,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.06 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bologna FC 1909 | 77c | 42,042$32,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,669.61 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 76c | 11,578$8,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.6 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.05 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 5,049$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Bologna FC 1909 | 76c | 1,905$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.66 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 800.33$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bologna FC 1909 | 77c | 786.36$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 77c | 460$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 443.07$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Juventus FC | 19c | 415.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 366.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Bologna FC 1909 | 62c | 315.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Juventus FC | 19c | 269.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 261.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bologna FC 1909 | 67c | 215.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Juventus FC | 24c | 204.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 153.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 131.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 115.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 97.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 70c | 78.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Bologna FC 1909 | 72c | 75.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 72.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Juventus FC | 34c | 68.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 66.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bologna FC 1909 | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Juventus FC | 32c | 54.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 52.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juventus FC | 32c | 50.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 77c | 41.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…2065backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 30.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 24.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 24.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 22.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Bologna FC 1909 | 67c | 21.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Bologna FC 1909 | 64c | 20.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…3094backed Bologna FC 1909 | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…0cd2backed Bologna FC 1909 | 78c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.