TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c5,679$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.021,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under53c5,473$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.126245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c2,598$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under43c1,727$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.5796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under58c1,677$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.243863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under45c1,110$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.491741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.48033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2905…28e6backed Over48c600.74$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over62c590.08$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c585.95$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.134748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c581.8$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under42c548.09$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over58c504.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Under42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c449.4$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c399.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c334.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over46c325.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked Over60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under33c290.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.875166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c283.53$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under46c262.93$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.987248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a46…2294backed Under43c257.16$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over55c239.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5412350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.028644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over58c218.49$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.721353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c217.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6313142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over54c215.23$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.226659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over55c212.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c203.46$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over61c200.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.072240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe77…8166backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.910147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over55c192.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.82951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over58c191.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.267051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over53c184.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.214551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over73c154.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.483847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over58c151.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4213445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over68c148$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6410361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over53c143.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.814231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c142.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over80c132.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.984852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over46c131.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.717964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under44c127.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4510759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over58c127.34$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8613350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over49c118.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.166155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Under43c115.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Over58c100.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.492250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under42c99.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.989045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over70c98.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c95.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0118125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c87.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c81.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under75c80.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0221748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Under52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.865038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under45c70.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over56c69.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over57c68.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9710566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Over48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over66c59.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.82544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over56c59.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4617354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over58c57.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.099561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under40c56.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over50c56.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.272020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c56.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1817958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c54.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c53.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.89056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Over48c52.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2217058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.242839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under23c49.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.321250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…506ebacked Over31c49.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4773…c676backed Over42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over44c44.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-72.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.722638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over65c37.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.482931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over49c37.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.514445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under36c36.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5510358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over69c35.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6914351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over43c33.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.512347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5111547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under53c31.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.817665.8%50 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.492360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.531346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Under43c28.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.528037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over72c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over55c25.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under43c25.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over56c25.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1813653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2514845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.