TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f73…667d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.28
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$360.94
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$165.81
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$874
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkietabacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$99.93
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.21
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$20.99
National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+34%+$39.53
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$20.37
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$8.67
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$50.96
Will Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.53
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$52.35
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$87.09
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$9.72
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Santos FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.