Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf176226f51a1eda230032e1dfeb70eb93400e661777db58cc7115b9d8c2c88d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 19c | 2,434$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.74 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,463$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.99 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 1,067$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 957.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 52c | 640.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 29c | 606.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 522.74$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 522.51$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under | 36c | 390.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 78c | 384.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 40c | 377.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +11.0wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 291.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…41d4backed Under | 21c | 289.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 79c | 250.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 232.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 218.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Over | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 51c | 166.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 76c | 163.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 159.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 22c | 159.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 159$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 75c | 156.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…667dbacked Over | 78c | 112.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 77c | 108.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 25c | 106.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 88.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 30c | 87.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 22c | 84.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 19c | 69.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 49c | 69.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 77c | 64.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 22c | 57.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 68c | 51.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 37c | 40.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 61c | 36.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 35.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 77c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.