Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9dab1b7e07485cc85f50c84b87e5fc3ec67fb79f9ff9967c09606d04fc4ef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 6,407$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.44 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 43c | 3,055$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.14 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 1,657$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.8 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 1,499$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 1,351$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 48c | 1,063$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 55c | 763.26$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.46 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 687.39$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 44c | 527.64$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 54c | 447.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 354.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 37c | 282.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 36c | 245$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 39c | 220.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 51c | 206.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 43c | 205.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 58c | 192.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 186.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…199fbacked Over | 57c | 181.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 151.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 147.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 71c | 140.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 140.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 44c | 138.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 57c | 126.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 63c | 109.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Under | 44c | 105.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 43c | 102.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 55c | 91.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 85.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 77.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…3c81backed Under | 63c | 63.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 57.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 44c | 53.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 55c | 41.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 47c | 39.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Over | 56c | 39.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 53c | 33.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 29.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 27.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 46c | 24.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 58c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 50c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.