TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ulsan HD FCof Ulsan HD FC, FC Anyang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,980 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x851b…961ebacked Ulsan HD FC24c1,046$251 inWon+$794.836533.8%22 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Anyang76c889.89$674 inLost-$674.135,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked FC Anyang8c159.4$12 inLost-$12.2626348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Anyang77c145.51$112 inLost-$112.052,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FC Anyang79c138.71$110 inLost-$110.2212956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Ulsan HD FC23c130.43$30 inWon+$100.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Ulsan HD FC24c128.38$31 inWon+$97.087428.4%21 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ulsan HD FC54c111.74$60 inWon+$51.3270842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Ulsan HD FC25c100.33$26 inWon+$74.835751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ulsan HD FC16c100$16 inWon+$8492835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Ulsan HD FC23c94.07$22 inWon+$72.4337559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Ulsan HD FC22c86.45$19 inWon+$67.0742351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Anyang75c69.56$52 inLost-$52.171,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ulsan HD FC24c67.07$16 inWon+$50.951,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed FC Anyang77c51.72$40 inLost-$39.7219261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed FC Anyang20c50$10 inLost-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…1c17backed FC Anyang75c47$35 inLost-$35.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed FC Anyang77c43.06$33 inLost-$33.1413246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed FC Anyang77c34.16$26 inLost-$26.4623859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed FC Anyang76c30.29$23 inLost-$23.1324061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ff…4e38backed FC Anyang75c16$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed FC Anyang75c14.38$11 inLost-$10.793554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ee…331cbacked FC Anyang77c14.29$11 inLost-$11540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed FC Anyang80c12.52$10 inLost-$10.023278.1%25 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick78cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.