TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x005b…3c81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Targu Mures: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.97
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lanserebacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$101.98
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmannbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$29.62
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$32.7
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Danielbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Collignonbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.99
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
ITF Brisbane: Nithesa Selvaraj vs Himari Satobacked Himari Sato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$56.39
Swiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$30.99
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$52.73
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$208.83
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.3
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$85.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.59
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.4
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$71.6
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.4
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$110.8
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$113.99
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.09
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.