TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty54c56,438$30,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,627.31,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Indiana Fever46c55,079$25,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,614.86848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever49c26,538$12,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,570.5236750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever42c24,674$10,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,350.2178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Indiana Fever69c21,316$14,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,520.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed New York Liberty53c14,910$7,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,902.282626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty54c13,979$7,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.3327449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed New York Liberty3c12,293$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.029036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked New York Liberty3c10,080$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.828228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Liberty56c9,681$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,409.2219458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Indiana Fever28c9,288$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,714.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty48c8,952$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.5599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed New York Liberty54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0505558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Liberty44c7,057$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.7210340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty42c6,693$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.0334726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty53c6,565$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.2840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty55c6,337$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Indiana Fever33c6,066$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Indiana Fever47c5,712$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.9811754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever45c5,538$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.6336154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Liberty3c5,076$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3410838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed New York Liberty53c5,031$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.181947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Indiana Fever46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+143.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed New York Liberty54c4,324$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.861656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked New York Liberty53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1205945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5724…dcb7backed Indiana Fever43c3,498$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Indiana Fever53c3,216$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.462642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked New York Liberty52c2,928$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty54c2,881$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.0274942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Indiana Fever46c2,826$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.094963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b6e…9486backed New York Liberty72c2,750$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked New York Liberty53c2,641$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.094020%8 W · 32 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty65c2,633$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.6955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked New York Liberty54c2,446$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.6110445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Liberty1c2,249$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2926147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked New York Liberty54c2,230$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.25657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Indiana Fever50c2,011$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.666956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Liberty1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty54c1,657$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9919446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Indiana Fever58c1,600$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.3215250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Indiana Fever47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.353847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Liberty69c1,508$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.2717656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Indiana Fever45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82514060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked New York Liberty53c1,500$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Indiana Fever47c1,418$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty53c1,328$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.9546247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Liberty51c1,322$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.315048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Indiana Fever36c1,235$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.3919428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Liberty12c1,228$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.247740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked New York Liberty53c1,196$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6341250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Indiana Fever51c1,165$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.710634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed New York Liberty71c1,138$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.951850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed New York Liberty54c1,125$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.52352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Indiana Fever45c1,100$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick49cpaid+84.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked New York Liberty55c1,100$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.59650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed New York Liberty70c1,003$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.811926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick56cpaid-59.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Indiana Fever45c998.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.448733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Indiana Fever46c934.02$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Liberty38c931.24$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8714942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked New York Liberty42c854.73$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8313844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed New York Liberty8c813.6$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked New York Liberty73c686.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed New York Liberty65c646.6$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty67c637.8$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5985158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed New York Liberty41c599.98$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.997643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty59c581.3$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2661042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Indiana Fever54c560.96$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3316633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Indiana Fever36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Indiana Fever56c538.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.792268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Indiana Fever46c518.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.464751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked New York Liberty53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Indiana Fever48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Indiana Fever44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty54c479.35$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.859554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Indiana Fever36c439.21$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.912846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked New York Liberty53c417.29$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.168061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty2c411.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1438645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf731…e5c2backed Indiana Fever32c389.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Liberty54c378.38$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3913147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty49c363.43$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8113256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty54c351.77$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9717946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Indiana Fever45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed New York Liberty8c329.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.33395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc174…66f2backed Indiana Fever79c322.39$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Indiana Fever46c316.96$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.116145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed New York Liberty53c316.35$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.934546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Indiana Fever45c308.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked New York Liberty50c301.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.284852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Indiana Fever30c300.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Indiana Fever38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18621440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked New York Liberty52c297.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Indiana Fever48c291.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7823746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked New York Liberty53c283.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506137.7%23 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Indiana Fever44c280$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.11650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever44c277.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1564152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed New York Liberty53c273.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.121450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty27c269.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7850646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Liberty27c267.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.830347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Indiana Fever50c266.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2831043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever59c263.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.631,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.