WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001b1fceaf2316ca34d66b50cf750afbff38d012a1ae6d266540efd0f6acc958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Under | 44c | 4,597$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 3,064$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.87 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 2,419$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.26 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 60c | 1,946$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.24 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 1,916$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.78 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 1,772$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.68 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.69 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 62c | 1,425$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 55c | 1,005$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.19 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 31c | 608.39$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 587.14$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 56c | 572.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 419.73$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 387.07$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 339.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 285.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 68c | 218.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 139.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 39c | 137.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 68c | 136.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 134.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 129.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 56c | 113.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 33c | 75.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 70.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 49c | 64.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 60c | 63.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 37c | 53.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…bb09backed Under | 49c | 45.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 43.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Under | 47c | 40.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Under | 49c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 39.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 35c | 36.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 49c | 32.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…02bbbacked Over | 58c | 30.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 49c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.