WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x328ae66b017d5f9b7a96a4b61128f1a50561d9623f9c453c92240d030706fe11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Under | 49c | 2,649$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 59c | 1,685$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.11 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,438$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.21 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 1,357$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.89 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 1,071$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.78 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 760.62$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 618$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.19 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 41c | 487.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…8645backed Over | 69c | 471.48$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 31c | 418$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Over | 50c | 400.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 396$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 47c | 396$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 46c | 347.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 36c | 299$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Under | 30c | 218.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 70c | 215$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 207.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 52c | 199.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Over | 30c | 167.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 55c | 143$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…c3ebbacked Under | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 122.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…7e5cbacked Under | 60c | 122.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 119.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 112.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 61c | 66.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Under | 48c | 63.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 37c | 59.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Under | 35c | 58.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 51.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 61c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 30c | 47.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 31c | 46.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 46.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 66c | 35.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 72c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 63c | 32.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 43c | 28.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Over | 76c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 55c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.