WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d93a7711413694bf5013aae274e4a666117e4bf19cf3466972f379209e3cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 55c | 9,094$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.67 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 4,416$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 1,393$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 1,228$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.42 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 904.41$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 512$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 508.62$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 475.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.27 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 363.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 49c | 307.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 286.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 276$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 226.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 151.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 115.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 104.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 25c | 95.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 90.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 45c | 63.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 51c | 53.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 51c | 48.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 48c | 41.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 56c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Over | 57c | 30.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 59c | 23.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 59c | 19.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.