WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb8beb2d24d8d29bd3d288f079017849394b7d38b1f2623ab68dc9f44a4f570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed New York Liberty | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.96 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 5,818$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.89 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 4,819$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 4,628$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,898$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.96 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,341$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.91 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 1,284$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.84 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 64c | 1,172$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.6 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed New York Liberty | 53c | 799.99$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 555.43$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.27 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 483.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 446.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 419$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 45c | 407$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Indiana Fever | 74c | 324.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Liberty | 52c | 311$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Liberty | 54c | 286.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 285.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty | 51c | 258.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 253.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty | 51c | 234$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed New York Liberty | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 154.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty | 29c | 104.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 100.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked New York Liberty | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed New York Liberty | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed New York Liberty | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed New York Liberty | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed New York Liberty | 48c | 95.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed New York Liberty | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 75.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Liberty | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 63.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 61.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed New York Liberty | 52c | 54.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 48.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 44.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…ea7dbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.