WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b136e68a5f877a31a59685540e4a3293015402c09c7b28aa43520d8c9419656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 2,141$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.22 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 16c | 949.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 768$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.63 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 600$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 78c | 377.73$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 355.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 325$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 15c | 244.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 232.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 35c | 197.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 33c | 179.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 140.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 137.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under | 46c | 121.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 64c | 107.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 68c | 102.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 88.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 54.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 22c | 53.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 45c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 55c | 23.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 79c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.