WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181087f2198053b5a5be96408083819bf1fdabcabf6a8ed5b14893cee4f1e19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 1,053$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.48 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 422.32$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 64c | 400.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 57c | 279$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 275.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 217.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 33c | 186.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 176$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 170.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 147.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 121.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 66c | 110.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 26c | 96.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 81.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 66c | 57.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 52.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Over | 56c | 28.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 44c | 27.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.