TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,033 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty49c6,519$3,194 inLost-$3,194.317648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever51c5,092$2,587 inWon+$2,505.2678548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever51c3,000$1,530 inWon+$1,47013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed New York Liberty54c799.99$432 inLost-$43213742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked New York Liberty46c647.16$300 inLost-$3005461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever51c629$321 inWon+$308.2141145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe8…2cbabacked Indiana Fever51c602.41$308 inWon+$293.982166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Indiana Fever52c577.4$300 inWon+$277.414948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed New York Liberty23c523.08$123 inLost-$122.791827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty48c510.79$245 inLost-$245.181,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty49c485.21$236 inLost-$236.3527449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty48c445.46$214 inLost-$213.6413048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Indiana Fever53c400$214 inWon+$186.417946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever51c256$131 inWon+$125.4492248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty49c250$122 inLost-$12232750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty49c224.51$110 inLost-$110.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed New York Liberty51c198.31$101 inLost-$101.147655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Liberty49c149.98$73 inLost-$73.2222446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty48c140$67 inLost-$67.228447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty48c139.02$66 inLost-$66.451,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty47c118.16$55 inLost-$55.2832346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty49c113.54$55 inLost-$55.0883748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Indiana Fever51c109.79$56 inWon+$53.85657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever53c72.46$39 inWon+$33.7738645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Indiana Fever43c59.99$26 inWon+$34.217350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Indiana Fever49c59.99$29 inWon+$30.66544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked New York Liberty53c56.43$30 inLost-$29.914020%8 W · 32 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed New York Liberty51c49.12$25 inLost-$251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Indiana Fever52c36.62$19 inWon+$17.5823746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked New York Liberty49c32.9$16 inLost-$16.123161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Indiana Fever60c29.87$18 inWon+$11.8713256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Indiana Fever42c29$12 inWon+$16.8222440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed New York Liberty50c22.03$11 inLost-$11.027248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed New York Liberty51c21.06$11 inLost-$10.7424656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty63c19.05$12 inLost-$1250952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked New York Liberty68c17.78$12 inLost-$12.094245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.