WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc629432dcffa30e50cccad9850cf203f35bca1137e46b6bd399b31aae6ed227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 6,405$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.44 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 6,346$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 53c | 1,167$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Over | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 45c | 750.49$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 376.84$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 64c | 314.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 55c | 216.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 58c | 173.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 58c | 172.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 165.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…ec00backed Under | 45c | 154.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 130.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Over | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 55c | 106.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Under | 47c | 98.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 18c | 82.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 77.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 55c | 76.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 41c | 72.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 44c | 53.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…146abacked Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 41.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 34.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 62c | 31.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 30.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 40c | 29.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 24.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 48c | 23.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.