TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f5…1aec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
319
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 218 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.6
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.93
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.9
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.7
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.32
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$82.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.54
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
Showing 25 of 218 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT7332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$226.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$350.76
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.79
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$430.11
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$77.98
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+94%+$751.03
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 - Map 3 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.69
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.33
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$170.48
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$168.78
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$867.4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.49
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.7
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$921.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.02
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$131.56
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$428.4
United States to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Brazil to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.22
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.2
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.7
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$888.26
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.58
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$417.96
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$115.8
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.83
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$432.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-80%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.7
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$503.04
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$840.01
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$496.8
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$163.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.