TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom30c5,510$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.226,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Phantom12c5,110$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.387617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom39c3,154$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.5192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Phantom19c2,521$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.331,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked K2760c1,977$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.9938454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked K2770c1,925$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.1822241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Phantom33c1,750$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed K2762c1,617$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.31,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom30c1,518$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.292,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2774c1,461$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.294,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Phantom29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2774c1,284$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.143,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed K2762c1,255$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.552,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Phantom21c1,239$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.061,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked K2767c1,234$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.357,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed K2774c1,068$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2661034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Phantom26c996.46$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.264,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Phantom37c984$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.087332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…36f4backed Phantom38c965.72$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.791241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked K2759c850$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.519357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed K2759c849.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Phantom42c771.38$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed K2762c755.55$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5121346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Phantom37c734.27$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.681,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked K2761c685.59$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.599341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked K2760c618$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.225651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Phantom40c584.6$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.942,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2756c545.55$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Phantom44c530.55$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.442962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom37c501.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.552,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Phantom40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9922266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed Phantom17c491$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.474643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed K2756c465.55$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.849159.3%54 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Phantom17c433$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7896543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Phantom20c426$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.961,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked K2768c400$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.461,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed K2759c374.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1210249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed K2761c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Phantom37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.57152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2771c329.24$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.114,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked K2758c322.38$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.448948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Phantom40c317.19$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.894,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Phantom27c310$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.715246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed K2759c302.27$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4132361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Phantom3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed K2767c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5116349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed K2760c273.26$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11014949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Phantom30c252.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.712,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Phantom31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3113834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom9c223.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.192,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Phantom38c203.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.319840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom30c199.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.762,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom42c199.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.023,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed K2760c185.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.526238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed K2767c184.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2669445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked K2779c182.1$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7428037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed K2773c177.54$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8842154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Phantom43c171.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.969842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed K2757c171.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed K2753c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.961948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Phantom29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.355738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked K2760c165.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.747045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom10c163.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.923,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Phantom29c162.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4753034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed Phantom24c156.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4525635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked K2774c154.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8872353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Phantom41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.524746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Phantom43c147.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.513742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Phantom43c138.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5919548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Phantom41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Phantom42c115.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489c…1a43backed Phantom13c112.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7401…c482backed Phantom38c109.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Phantom42c102.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4339038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Phantom10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Phantom42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Phantom20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed Phantom35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Phantom40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4091743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Phantom30c99.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9542831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom31c98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.525,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Phantom38c96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Phantom14c92.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.011,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom30c91.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.332,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed K2764c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0424558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Phantom41c88.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.611,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked K2771c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2520444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Phantom41c77.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9724451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked K2762c73.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.913250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed K2772c70.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7820059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed K2772c67.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0122557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed K2777c65.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2324842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…436bbacked K2761c62.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.353551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Phantom25c61.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed K2760c61.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.593568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Phantom19c58.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0972139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Phantom27c57.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom21c52.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.842,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed K2761c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8547856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Phantom25c46.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.526942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.