TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom47c6,000$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.4992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2756c4,937$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.934,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2756c4,257$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.762,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked K2770c4,140$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2759c3,168$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.013,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed K2760c2,847$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.381,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K2757c2,255$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.595,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed K2759c1,529$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.961,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom47c1,501$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.346,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Phantom50c1,500$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.5161948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed K2742c1,368$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.447139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom25c1,292$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.862,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed Phantom39c1,000$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0513649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked K2778c970.23$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.827617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Phantom52c951.08$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3213454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Phantom55c910.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Phantom42c900$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Phantom33c848.82$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed K2757c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3442,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed K2748c792$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8423949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Phantom65c771.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Phantom20c627.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.242,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed K2748c615.06$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8622044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed Phantom35c473$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.794643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Phantom53c471.04$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9817034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Phantom54c442.33$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.969341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed K2760c421.51$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.661034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked K2757c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2752c381.09$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.694,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked K2741c380$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.215246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed K2767c367$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.597553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Phantom56c365.46$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.631,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed Phantom74c361.96$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.979960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Phantom54c360$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.619546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf274…443ebacked K2763c351.64$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.642166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked K2741c339.24$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2413742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Phantom43c335.23$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14513258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2759c335$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.175,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed K2757c324.89$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7842154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K2746c291.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.512,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed K2758c290$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.860853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Phantom52c275.15$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.840655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4652…6343backed K2756c275.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.072540%10 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Phantom39c272.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10524842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Phantom41c268.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.331654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed Phantom44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2758c243.71$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.843,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked K2760c235.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1443152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phantom35c229.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Phantom25c218$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9727037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom58c216.93$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.827,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Phantom53c210.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6810657.5%61 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed K2747c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Phantom31c189$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.596944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked Phantom53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Phantom53c177.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2869445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Phantom55c176.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9765650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom27c173.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.842,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Phantom36c171.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.121536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked K2751c168.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6319548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Phantom49c168.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7622053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed K2745c165.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4628843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed K2761c160.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom25c160.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.433,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed K2758c156.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…2e57backed Phantom67c149.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Phantom35c139.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6722454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked K2750c116.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.672353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Phantom55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Phantom34c108.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3739038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Phantom55c108$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0630247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Phantom56c107.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed K2733c107.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.138541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Phantom57c104.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0122750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed K2759c101.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8130859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Phantom28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8363038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Phantom53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Phantom38c92.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3980740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom47c89.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.622,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked K2744c85.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9227549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed K2754c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.547856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked K2758c76.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.263250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked K2764c73.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4238941.9%163 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Phantom55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed K2772c66.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.512,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked K2745c65.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1144747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Phantom47c64.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4224746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom54c61.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.270042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed K2750c55.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6116038.1%61 W · 99 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Phantom56c53.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed K2739c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.726145.9%28 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked K2750c48.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4628037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e3…de04backed K2756c47.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34250%21 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Phantom44c46.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5650358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Phantom59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5519447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Phantom58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255750.9%29 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked K2772c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Phantom51c41.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.051,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Phantom48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.232463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.