CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93aae3d3963e6f14a063b57de3a949b54113afdab0952ee0840cb08b21b223e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 31c | 1,624$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.79 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Phantom | 73c | 1,121$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.72 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed K27 | 29c | 1,044$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.16 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Phantom | 69c | 899.99$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.99 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 31c | 823$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.87 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom | 74c | 786.33$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.33 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Phantom | 72c | 750$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom | 65c | 588.11$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.08 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed K27 | 30c | 449.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed K27 | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phantom | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed K27 | 31c | 274.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Phantom | 70c | 214.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed K27 | 29c | 206.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phantom | 71c | 200.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Phantom | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Phantom | 72c | 140.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Phantom | 72c | 140.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed K27 | 32c | 122.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed K27 | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Phantom | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed K27 | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Phantom | 72c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed K27 | 25c | 57.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 30c | 53.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked Phantom | 70c | 53.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Phantom | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 30c | 49.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Phantom | 70c | 46.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phantom | 71c | 45.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Phantom | 36c | 28.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Phantom | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Phantom | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed K27 | 66c | 19.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed K27 | 61c | 18.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Phantom | 71c | 17.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Phantom | 72c | 17.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Phantom | 72c | 16.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Phantom | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.