TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed K2751c19,130$9,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,373.8621353.5%114 W · 99 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Phantom48c16,322$7,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,834.7677052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2752c15,555$8,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,466.25,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Phantom49c13,265$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked K2753c9,744$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,616.9814645.2%66 W · 80 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Phantom51c8,690$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.7372645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Phantom26c5,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.9817162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Phantom48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.962458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed K2752c4,253$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.667953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed K2754c4,000$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.189650%48 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom45c3,849$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.962,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8b5abacked K2754c3,380$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.631428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Phantom46c3,185$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.014436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Phantom49c3,024$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.7624349%119 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Phantom14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42012627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Phantom46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.998052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2762c2,897$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.886,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked K2755c2,750$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.575356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Phantom47c2,354$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.9222449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed K2754c2,345$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.543145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2753c2,332$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.612,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Phantom38c2,140$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.083,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Phantom10c2,066$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Phantom48c2,061$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom38c2,057$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.934,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Phantom46c2,014$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.4633359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Phantom48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed K2752c1,918$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.4447655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom47c1,708$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.835,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Phantom15c1,510$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.940542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Phantom49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed K2755c1,287$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3338839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Phantom45c1,151$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0664748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom15c1,124$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.272,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2756c1,080$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.092,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Phantom45c1,030$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.527548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Phantom32c1,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31511844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed K2754c980.37$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2561055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked K2752c976.54$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7449245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked K2774c941.62$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.242,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed K2778c881.14$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8513258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Phantom45c845.78$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0257740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed K2755c809.09$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0922044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed K2752c807.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.696350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Phantom26c807.3$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.185,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Phantom50c806.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed K2756c800$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.892,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Phantom47c658$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.244747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed K2757c601.09$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0542854.9%235 W · 193 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom42c600$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed K2754c594.89$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.362853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Phantom49c512.48$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.121,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed K2751c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24587351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked K2754c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Phantom25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12553945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked K2763c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18511758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked K2755c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0577247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked K2753c499.9$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.959732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked Phantom14c497.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.777737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Phantom23c496.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7915335.9%55 W · 98 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed K2761c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.822567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Phantom49c490.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2755c469.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.55,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked K2773c460.52$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.381,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom18c452.05$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.452,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Phantom22c448.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0216847%79 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Phantom45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017149.1%84 W · 87 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked K2752c443$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6428440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom34c436.09$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.073,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Phantom49c425.51$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.525640.2%103 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Phantom47c418.4$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6942638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Phantom49c403.33$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6312244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed K2778c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8839454.3%214 W · 180 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed K2752c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19232461.4%199 W · 125 L+23.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed K2752c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19238052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Phantom48c396.36$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5340341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Phantom23c389$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.172,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K2751c369$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.352,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked K2752c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Phantom23c347.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed K2753c330.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1948654.5%265 W · 221 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Phantom47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed K2754c317.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.955558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Phantom48c311.11$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3361654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Phantom24c309.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5739342.5%167 W · 226 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Phantom47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6250548.1%243 W · 262 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Phantom47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Phantom12c284.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6750349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed K2755c281.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5327647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2755c280$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.883,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Phantom38c275.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8520936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Phantom43c273.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5639538.7%153 W · 242 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked K2753c269.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked K2749c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom42c243.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.244,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Phantom47c243$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4717034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Phantom47c241.05$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9749149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked K2762c220$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Phantom48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8425352.6%133 W · 120 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed K2778c206.96$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8626468.6%181 W · 83 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.