TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf529…755f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
481
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT24137.8%91 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 241 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.43
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.2
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.15
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$164.26
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$78.81
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.51
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.06
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$385.28
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$287.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$308.88
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.79
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.59
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$210.98
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Showing 25 of 241 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$204.54
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Xipto Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.13
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.89
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+171.8%+$36.03
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.76
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.34
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$164.4
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.8
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$700.09
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.5
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.31
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$149.38
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.21
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.54
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$77.28
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6845.6%31 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Kaleido Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$17.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.76
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora - Map 2 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$236.6
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Abacked RoundsGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$526.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$93.67
Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed NADE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$188.54
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.98
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$464.28
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Privateer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$279.38
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$694.2
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.69
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$65.37
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.72
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+186%+$190.56
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$62.1
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$44.2
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$430.92
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$201.6
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winnerbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26%+$5.36
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$610.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.6
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.75
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$435.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.68
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.52
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.56
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.63
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,878.75
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$81.6
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$69.41
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.92
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick32cpaid+115.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Atlético San Luis 1 - 2 CF Cruz Azul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)backed Sandefjord Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.