Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc1047afc64386e456d87d1281b245ff31e2b1359193b8d53980d684f256e03

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paper Rexof DetonatioN FocusMe, Paper Rex
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,524 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Paper Rex	66c	2,501$1,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.46	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DetonatioN FocusMe	24c	2,007$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.96	1,422	51.3%729 W · 693 L	+49.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe	28c	1,893$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.97	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Paper Rex	78c	1,742$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.13	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-15.6wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe	20c	1,619$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.76	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed DetonatioN FocusMe	34c	1,430$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.2	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed DetonatioN FocusMe	36c	1,334$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.88	260	51.9%135 W · 125 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex	75c	1,264$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.8	936	49.3%461 W · 475 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed DetonatioN FocusMe	23c	1,143$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.83	271	46.9%127 W · 144 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Paper Rex	75c	919$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.58	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed DetonatioN FocusMe	52c	870$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.14	420	35%147 W · 273 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Paper Rex	75c	659.95$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.35	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Paper Rex	78c	631.28$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.58	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed DetonatioN FocusMe	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Paper Rex	75c	602.67$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.67	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Paper Rex	80c	577.97$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.59	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Paper Rex	73c	507.42$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.19	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Paper Rex	68c	501$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.08	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Paper Rex	80c	501$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.2	201	60.2%121 W · 80 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Paper Rex	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	60cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	36c	472$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.06	1,607	37.5%603 W · 1,004 L	-75.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed DetonatioN FocusMe	20c	460.17$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.03	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DetonatioN FocusMe	32c	380.23$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.01	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed DetonatioN FocusMe	8c	322.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed DetonatioN FocusMe	26c	321.29$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	49c	303.42$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.68	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex	77c	281$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.58	1,312	43.8%575 W · 737 L	-44.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed DetonatioN FocusMe	22c	246.75$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.51	237	45.1%107 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked DetonatioN FocusMe	16c	246.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex	73c	227$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.19	818	34.8%285 W · 533 L	-61.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Paper Rex	77c	224$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.76	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.19per pick	60cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paper Rex	73c	221$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.07	312	27.6%86 W · 226 L	-33.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Paper Rex	74c	202.57$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.57	176	42.6%75 W · 101 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked DetonatioN FocusMe	32c	200.01$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.65	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Paper Rex	50c	200$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.84	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked DetonatioN FocusMe	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed DetonatioN FocusMe	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	44c	198$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.16	913	33.2%303 W · 610 L	-89.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed DetonatioN FocusMe	31c	175$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.75	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked DetonatioN FocusMe	36c	172.8$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DetonatioN FocusMe	21c	170.49$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Paper Rex	75c	166.78$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.22	783	44.1%345 W · 438 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Paper Rex	76c	155.27$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	705	43.5%307 W · 398 L	-14.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Paper Rex	67c	129.08$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.6	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	25c	113$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Paper Rex	78c	109$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.47	672	50.6%340 W · 332 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex	74c	108.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.66	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Paper Rex	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	151	60.3%91 W · 60 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	27c	99.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed DetonatioN FocusMe	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Paper Rex	79c	92.94$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.52	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	30c	92.21$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	575	50.6%291 W · 284 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed DetonatioN FocusMe	22c	76.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe	26c	69.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	1,365	38.9%531 W · 834 L	-60.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed DetonatioN FocusMe	31c	63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Paper Rex	70c	60.42$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	151	60.3%91 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	25c	59.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked DetonatioN FocusMe	19c	57.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked DetonatioN FocusMe	51c	56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked Paper Rex	76c	52.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x611f…1f84backed DetonatioN FocusMe	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.24per pick	31cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed DetonatioN FocusMe	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	+22.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a0d…6abebacked DetonatioN FocusMe	25c	47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed Paper Rex	49c	44.9$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.9	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd48…0ea2backed DetonatioN FocusMe	32c	41.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198b…be1cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	43c	41.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed DetonatioN FocusMe	51c	41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	439	43.7%192 W · 247 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed Paper Rex	74c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	1,253	49.5%620 W · 633 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Paper Rex	75c	39.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	164	51.8%85 W · 79 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Paper Rex	77c	28$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.44	161	33.5%54 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8258…d217backed Paper Rex	76c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab7…8021backed Paper Rex	76c	22.6$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Paper Rex	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+5.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)Paper Rex won
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event